COVID-19 cases in Prince William County, Manassas and Manassas Park remain low but rose this past week to an average of 15 a day, up from about eight a day during the previous week. Also, the county reported four more COVID-19 deaths after adding none the previous week.
The rise in cases and newly reported deaths comes about one month after Virginia’s universal mask mandated was lifted May 15, and about two weeks after the Memorial Day weekend holiday, when all social distancing and capacity restrictions were lifted. Still, COVID-19 infections per capita locally and across the state remain at very low levels. Hospitalizations also continue to trend downward.
Meanwhile, the number of people vaccinated in the county and across the Northern Virginia region continues to creep upward. But the average number of vaccinations administered each day across Virginia is declining. About 28,700 shots, on average, were given each day during this past week, down from an average of more than 55,000 a day on May 21, according to the Virginia Department of Health.
Local deaths
The latest local fatalities include those of three men and one woman. One was white and three were Latino. All were residents of Prince William County. The youngest was in their 40s. Of the other three victims, one was in their 50s; one was in their 70s; and one was age 80 or older, according to VDH data.
Prince William County reported 11 new COVID-19 cases on Sunday, June 13, and is now reporting an average of 15 a day, up from an average of 8 the previous week and about the same number reported two weeks ago.
The state reported just 73 cases on Sunday and is now reporting an average of 143 cases a day, a decline of about 30% from the 203 average daily cases reported last week.
In the local health district, a total of 110 new cases were reported over the past week, up from 61 the previous week. They included 22 cases among kids ages 9 and under, all of whom are too young to be vaccinated, and 21 cases among kids and teens ages 10 to 19, according to VDH data. Kids must be 12 to be eligible for a vaccine.
Residents in their 20s reported 21 new cases, while residents in their 40s reported 19, according to VDH data.
Hospitalizations
There were just three local hospitalizations for COVID-19 in the past week, down from eight the previous week. They included those of one resident in their 20s, one in their 50s and one in their 70s.
Across the state, the number of people hospitalized as of Saturday, June 12, was 345, down from 443 last week. Of those, 84 were in intensive care units and 62 were on ventilators, according the Virginia Healthcare and Hospital Association.
Rate of COVID-19 per capita
Rates of COVID-19 infections per capita throughout Northern Virginia remain in the “very low” range and vary from -.7 cases per 100,000 residents in the City of Manassas to 3.2 in Prince William County. The City of Manassas has not reported a single COVID-19 case since June 1.
Percent-positivity rate
Prince William County’s percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 tests declined from 2.8% to 1.7% this past week. That’s well below the 5% target, which is understood to be an indication that there is enough testing being done to identify most cases of the disease.
Cases by ZIP Code
Average daily cases declined or remained the same in 11 of the county's 20 ZIP Codes last week, while rising in eight.
Average daily cases rose in ZIP Codes 20109, 20155, 20181, 22026, 22134, 22172, 22192 and 22193.
Average daily cases fell in ZIP Codes 20220 and 20119.
Average daily cases remained the same in 20112, 20136 and 22191. Cases remained at zero in the ZIP Codes: 20137, 20143, 20169, 20187 and 22025.
Northern Virginia vaccination rates
About 52.5% of Prince William County residents have had at least one dose of the vaccine, up from 51.2% last week, while the City of Manassas reported 53.1%, up from 51.7% over the past week, and Manassas Park reported 47.4%, up from 46.1%.
Statewide, 47.3% of Virginians are fully vaccinated, up from 44.9% last week, while 56.8% have had at least one dose, up from 55.2%. Among Virginia adults, 69% have had at least one dose of the vaccine, up from 67.8% last week, while 58.6% are fully vaccinated, up from 56.9% last week.
Sunday, June 6: COVID-19 cases at their lowest since start of the pandemic, no new deaths
COVID-19 cases in Prince William County, Manassas and Manassas Park continued to decline this week and are now at their lowest levels since the beginning of the pandemic in late March 2020.
Also, the local health district added no new deaths this past week due to COVID-19 – a first since late March.
Meanwhile, Prince William County and the City of Manassas crossed the 50% mark for the total number of residents with at least one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, while about 46% of Manassas Park residents have had at least one dose.
The local health district, which includes Prince William County, Manassas and Manassas Park, continues to lag a bit behind other Northern Virginia localities in vaccination rates. Fairfax and Loudoun counties have the highest rates of vaccination in the region, with 58.6% and 58.3% of their residents vaccinated with at least one dose, respectively, according to Virginia Department of Health.
They are followed by Arlington County (57.7%), Alexandria (52.8%) and Fauquier County (52.5%).
Prince William reported 51.2% of its residents having received at least one dose as of Saturday, June 5, while the City of Manassas reported 51.7% and Manassas Park, 46.1%.
Statewide, 44.9% of Virginians are fully vaccinated, while 55.2% have had at least one dose. Among Virginia adults, 67.8% have had at least one dose of the vaccine, while 56.9% are fully vaccinated.
Still, vaccination coverage varies widely across the state, resulting in the University of Virginia’s Biocomplexity Institute to warn in its latest report that unvaccinated people in some parts of the state remain vulnerable to outbreaks.
Albemarle County has the highest coverage in the state, with 66.9% of residents having received at least one dose, followed by Goochland County (61.4%) and Lancaster County (59.5%), according to VDH data.
Counties with the lowest coverage include Patrick (32.7%), Carroll (32.6%), and Lee (31.8%). The disparities are very apparent among younger age groups, the UVA Biocomplexity Institute notes in its latest report.
Prince William County reported 16 new COVID-19 cases on Saturday, June 5, and is now reporting an average of 7.9 a day, down about 50% from the average of 16 a day reported last week.
The state reported 286 cases on Saturday and is now reporting an average of 203 cases per day, a decline of about 39% from the 338 average cases per day reported last week.
In the local health district, 61 new cases were reported last week, including 10 among children ages 9 and younger who are too young to be vaccinated.
There were 12 cases among residents in their 60s; eight each among residents in their 20s and 40s; seven among residents in their 50s; six among residents in their 30s; and five among kids and teens ages 10 to 19. Residents age 80 or older reported four more cases, while those in their 70s reported one.
Hospitalizations
There were eight local hospitalizations for COVID-19 in the past week, down four from the 12 reported the previous week. They included those of two residents in their 30s, three in their 40s, one in their 60s and two age 80 or older, according to VDH data.
Across the state, the number of people hospitalized as of Saturday, June 5, was 443, down from 500 hospitalized during the May 29-30 weekend.
Rate of COVID-19 per capita
The rates of COVID-19 infections throughout Northern Virginia are now in the “very low” range and vary from .8 cases per 100,000 residents in Manassas Park to 4.1 cases per 100,000 residents in Stafford County.
In most areas, the rates of infection per capita declined over the past week except in Stafford County, where they rose from 3 per 100,000 residents to 4.1 per 100,000 residents.
Prince William County’s rate of infections per capita is just 1.7 cases per 100,000 residents, down from more than 11 at the beginning of May.
Percent-positivity rate
Meanwhile, the local percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 tests also declined from 3.2% to 2.8% this week. That’s well below the 5% target, which is understood to be an indication that there is enough testing being done to identify most cases of the disease.
Cases by ZIP Code
Average daily cases declined or remained the same in all but two of the county's 20 ZIP Codes last week.
Average daily cases rose to one -- from zero -- in ZIP Codes 20181 and 22134.
Average daily cases are at one or zero in every ZIP Code in the county except for 22191, which is now averaging two cases a day.
Average cases are down to zero in 11 local ZIP Codes, including: 20109, 20119, 20137, 20143, 20155, 20169, 22172, 20187, 22025, 22026 and 22125.
Saturday, May 30: Local COVID-19 numbers stay low, but county reports 2 more deaths
After ticking up the previous week, the local seven-day average of COVID-19 infections per capita declined over the past week to 3.3 per 100,000 residents, which is higher than counties to our north but below the statewide rate of 4.
Still, the county reported two more local COVID-19 deaths on Sunday, May 30 – those of one resident in their 20s and one in their 40s. The recent fatalities bring the total number of local residents in their 20s lost to COVID-19 to five and the total in their 40s to 24, according to the Virginia Department of Health.
Last week, the VDH removed three deaths from Prince William County’s pandemic death toll, those of two residents in their 70s and one age 80 or older. The most recent fatalities and those adjustments bring the local health district’s overall death toll to 557.
Statewide, Virginia continues to report an average of 10 COVID-19 deaths a day and an average of 338 new cases a day. The number suggest that while COVID-19 vaccinations have greatly reduced the transmission of the virus in recent weeks, the pandemic is still not over.
In its latest weekly report, the University of Virginia’s Biocomplexity Institute notes that vaccinated people have only a .01% chance of contracting the virus, based on a recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report that the U.S. has seen only 10,262 “breakthrough” infections in the new year out of more than 100 million vaccinated. About one in four of those were asymptomatic.
But that low chance of infection applies only to those who are vaccinated, the institute notes.
“Much of Virginia remains unvaccinated, and among these unvaccinated pockets, the outlook really hasn't changed,” the report notes. “Transmission rates are as high as they were in April, variants are now predominant, and restrictions are being relaxed.”
“For the unvaccinated population, it is as important as ever to follow public health precautions such as maintaining social distancing and wearing a mask,” the report adds.
The Memorial Day holiday, traditionally a time for social gatherings, coincides with further loosening of restrictions, which raises the risk of greater transmission.
“Despite important successes in recent weeks, over half of Virginians are not yet fully vaccinated and are still at risk for COVID infection. Until fully vaccinated, public health precautions remain necessary,” the report says.
Cases
Prince William County reported seven new COVID-19 cases on Sunday, May 30, and is now reporting an average of 16 a day, down about 36% from the seven-day average of about 25 cases a day the previous week. The state reported 227 cases on Sunday and is now reporting an average of 338 per day. That’s about 27% lower than the seven-day average of 464 case the previous week.
Hospitalizations
There were 12 local hospitalizations for COVID-19 in the past week, up from four the previous week. They included one of a resident in their 20s, three in their 30s, one in their 40s, three in their 50s, one in their 60s, two in their 70s and one age 80 or older, according to VDH data.
Across the state, the number of people hospitalized as of Saturday, May 22, was 500l, down from 561 the previous week.
Rate of COVID-19 per capita
The rates of COVID-19 infections throughout Northern Virginia are now in the low range and vary from negative .8 cases per 100,000 residents in Manassas Park to 9.9 cases per 100,000 residents in Fauquier County.
In most areas, the rates of infection per capita declined over the past week, except in Fauquier County, where the rate of infection per capita rose to 9.9 over the past week.
Percent-positivity rate
Meanwhile, the local percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 tests ticked up slightly from 2.8% last week to 3.2% this week. Both are below the 5% target understood to be an indication that there is enough testing being done to identify most cases of the disease.
Monday, May 24:COVID-19 cases tick up locally, county marks its 500th death
The local rate of COVID-19 infections per capita, while still low, crept up a bit over the past week – rising from 3 infections per 100,000 residents to 5.4. Also, the Prince William Health District has reported four additional COVID-19 deaths, bringing the county’s death toll to a new milestone: 500.
The latest local fatalities included three men and one woman. One was in their 30s, bringing the number of local residents lost to COVID-19 between the ages of 30 and 39 to 10. Across Virginia, 92 people in their 30s have died due to COVID-19 since the pandemic began, according to VDH data.
The other recent local deaths included one person in their 50s, bringing the death toll in that age group to 59, and two people in their 70s. Prince William County, Manassas and Manassas Park have so far lost 141 people in their 70s to COVID-19, according to VDH.
All four of the recent victims were residents of Prince William County. The total local death toll is now 558, and includes 500 residents of Prince William County, 47 of the City of Manassas and 11 of Manassas Park.
Local cases
The Prince William Health District is now reporting an average of 25 cases a day, up from 18 last week, or an increase of about 41%. The rate of infection per capita, however, is still in the “low” range at 5.4 cases per capita. Anything below 10 cases per 100,000 residents is considered low.
Across the state, however, confirmed cases have declined to 464 per day, a drop of 34% since the prior week. This is 64% lower than the previous 2021 low and 61% below the summer highs of 2020, according to the RAND Corporation, which analyzes the pandemic in Virginia.
Cases are declining or plateauing in all of Virginia's local health districts -- a first since the University of Virginia’s Biocomplexity Institute began reporting trajectories, the institute’s most recent report said.
The numbers suggest that the vaccinations and ongoing vigilance by Virginia residents have overcome the rise in more contagious variants, even though the B.1.1.7 variant, which originated in the United Kingdom, now accounts for just more than 80% of the samples sequenced in Virginia, according to the UVA institute’s May 21 report.
All five “variants of concern” have been detected in Virginia. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the U.K. variant is most prevalent in the region, but variants from Brazil, South Africa, California, New York and India have all been detected through genomic testing.
Hospitalizations
There were four local hospitalizations for COVID-19 in the past week, those of one resident in their 30s, two in their 60s and one age 80 or older, according to VDH data.
Across the state, the number of people hospitalized as of Saturday, May 22, was 561, down nearly 20% from the previous week. As of Monday, May 24, the number of patients hospitalized for COVID-19 had fallen even further to 503, including 100 in Northern Virginia.
Rate of COVID-19 per capita
The rates of COVID-19 infections throughout Northern Virginia are now in the low range and vary from .8 cases per 100,000 residents in Manassas Park to 7 cases per 100,000 residents in Stafford County.
In most areas, the rates of infection per capita declined over the past week, except in Prince William and Fauquier counties, both of which saw slight increases.
Percent-positivity rate
Meanwhile, the local percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 tests ticked down from 3% last week to 2.8% this week. Both are below the 5% target understood to be an indication that there is enough testing being done to identify most cases of the disease.
ZIP Code data
Average daily cases declined or remained the same in 12 of the county's 20 ZIP Codes last week, while rising in eight.
Average daily cases rose in eight ZIP Codes: 20112, 20136, 20181, 20187, 22025, 22026, 22134 and 22193.
Average daily cases remained the same in 10 ZIP Codes: 20109, 20111, 20119, 20137, 20143, 20155, 20169, 22172, 22125 and 22192.
Average cases were down in two local ZIP Codes: 20110 and 22191.
Thursday, May 20: Despite sharp decline in cases, county reports 7 more deaths
Prince William County’s rate of COVID-19 infections per capita and its percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 fell over the past week to levels not seen since the early days of the pandemic.
Still, the county reported seven more deaths due to COVID-19 in the past week, including those of one resident in their 40s and two in their 50s, according to the Virginia Department of Health.
The most recent fatalities included six men and one woman. Three were in their 60s and one was in their 70s. All were residents of Prince William County, which has now lost 496 residents to the pandemic. Across the Prince William Health District, which includes the county, Manassas and Manassas Park, the overall death toll is 554.
Despite the ongoing losses, COVID-19 metrics continue to improve both in the county and across the state.
In Virginia, average daily cases have dropped 28% over the last week to seven per 100,000, while the percent-positivity rate dipped to 3.2%, well below the targeted rate of 5%.
The Prince William Health District is averaging about 14 cases per day, down about two-thirds from last Saturday, May 8, according to VDH data. The county’s rate of infection per capita is now 3 per 100,000 residents – falling into the “lower case load” category for the first time in several months.
Meanwhile, the local percent-positivity rate on COVID-19 tests is 3%, which is also below the 5% target understood to be an indication there is enough testing being done to identify most cases of the disease.
At the peak of the pandemic in mid-January, the local health district was reporting an average of 499 cases a day.
There were six local hospitalizations for COVID-19 last week, including those of one resident in their 30s, one in their 40s and two in their 50s.
Across the state, 615 people were hospitalized for COVID-19 as of May 19, down about 26% from last week. Of those, 188 were in intensive care units and 98 were on ventilators, also down over the past week.
ZIP Code data
Average daily cases declined or remained the same in 19 of the county's 20 ZIP Codes last week, while rising in only one.
Average daily cases rose in ZIP Code 20187.
Average daily cases remained the same in nine ZIP Codes: 20119, 20137, 20143, 20169, 20181, 22025, 22125, 22134 and 22172.
Average cases were down in 11 local ZIP Codes: 20109, 20110, 20111, 20112, 20136, 20155, 22025, 22026, 22191, 22192 and 22193.
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June 14, 2021 at 02:01AM
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UPDATED: Local COVID-19 cases remain low but rise slightly, county reports 4 more deaths - Prince William Times
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