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Survey finds small business confidence at 8-month low - Marketplace

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Small business confidence has hit an eight-month low. The reading for January is out Tuesday morning from the National Federation of Independent Business. The number expecting better business conditions through the middle of the year hit its lowest level since 2013.

It’s hard to be optimistic about business over the next few months, said Randy George, owner of the Red Hen Baking Company in Vermont. Its cafe hasn’t had indoor dining since last April.

“We do have a lot of people coming to the window and getting sandwiches to go, but, it’s a window,” George said.

Small business pessimism can be a drag on the overall economy, said Bill Dunkelberg, chief economist at the NFIB.

He said that when businesses expect sales to fall, “that’s going to feed back into their capital spending plans, and their inventory investment plans, and their hiring plans.”

But there are reasons for optimism, too. George said he expects sales to pick up in the second half of the year with more vaccinations and fewer restrictions.

“There’s this pent-up demand,” he said. “And when that starts to get released, you know, our challenge might be keeping up with that.”

A survey this week from the New York Federal Reserve found that consumers anticipate their spending will grow in the year ahead at the highest rate in five years.

What are the details of President Joe Biden’s coronavirus relief plan?

The $1.9 trillion plan would aim to speed up the vaccine rollout and provide financial help to individuals, states and local governments and businesses. Called the “American Rescue Plan,” the legislative proposal would meet Biden’s goal of administering 100 million vaccines by the 100th day of his administration, while advancing his objective of reopening most schools by the spring. It would also include $1,400 checks for most Americans. Get the rest of the specifics here.

What kind of help can small businesses get right now?

A new round of Paycheck Protection Program loans recently became available for pandemic-ravaged businesses. These loans don’t have to be paid back if rules are met. Right now, loans are open for first-time applicants. And the application has to go through community banking organizations — no big banks, for now, at least. This rollout is designed to help business owners who couldn’t get a PPP loan before.

What does the hiring situation in the U.S. look like as we enter the new year?

New data on job openings and postings provide a glimpse of what to expect in the job market in the coming weeks and months. This time of year typically sees a spike in hiring and job-search activity, says Jill Chapman with Insperity, a recruiting services firm. But that kind of optimistic planning for the future isn’t really the vibe these days. Job postings have been lagging on the job search site Indeed. Listings were down about 11% in December compared to a year earlier.

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Survey finds small business confidence at 8-month low - Marketplace
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